It's that time, people. Oscar time!
Ever since I was a kid, this has been my Super Bowl, the televised event I wait for all year, every year.
What I originally thought was sort of a dull year for movies took a late turn into greatness. The Best Picture lineup is riddled with tough stories with plenty of edge to match. The scathing truths of The Big Short and Spotlight seem to have the momentum for the big prize. But what about the darkness of the survival epics: The Revenant, The Martian, and the universally praised Mad Max: Fury Road. The smaller scale of Room doesn't bode well, but it's packed with more emotional power than any of them. Brooklyn reminded us that plain, simple, true love is not dead, and Bridge of Spies finds two masters at work together again...to perfect effect.
I can't think of a more solid Best Picture lineup, though Creed should be on the list. Either way, none of them are misses. I loved all of them.
This is not a complete list of all the categories. I chose to focus solely on the ones where I can have a real say, an actual informed opinion. Plus, I know you don't really care who wins Sound Editing or Makeup, though the makeup work in The Revenant is core-shaking.
Anyway...here are my thoughts on the big ones:
Bridge of Spies
Mad Max: Fury Road
I'm so lost on this one. The Revenant has some solid buzz for sure. Spotlight is the critical darling alongside Mad Max: Fury Road. The rest have small chances to take it. The Big Short is the winner, I think. It is the most important film of the year, for many reasons, including its purely amazing genre-blending. It would get my vote. Plus, it took the Producer's Guild, which is a solid indication of the winner in recent years.
Bryan Cranston - Trumbo
Matt Damon - The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio - The Revenant
Michael Fassbender - Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne - The Danish Girl
Nobody but Leo stands a chance. Fassbender is the only one close, and I'd say he's a country mile behind Leo. He was just that good.
Brie Larson - Room
Jennifer Lawrence - Joy
Charlotte Rampling - 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan - Brooklyn
It seems the consensus is Brie Larson, and I'm okay with that. Rampling and Blanchett got more of the latest critical praise, but I don't think either will happen. I would go Saoirse Ronan. She reaffirmed the power of simplicity so lacking in performances these days.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale - The Big Short
Tom Hardy - The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo - Spotlight
Mark Rylance - Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone - Creed
Stallone is getting the lifetime achievement win on this one. I'm cool with that. This is a stacked category. All of these are fully deserving performances. I'm partial to Rylance's subdued turn in Bridge of Spies, but, on the other side of that coin, I also love Tom Hardy's maniac-level villianry in The Revenant.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara - Carol
Rachel McAdams - Spotlight
Alicia Vikander - The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet - Steve Jobs
I haven't seen The Danish Girl, so I can't weight in on Vikander. She should be up for Ex Machina. Jennifer Jason Leigh might steal this thing, but all signs seem to point to Kate. Her performance was pretty much perfect. My vote is for Rooney Mara though. I love what she did in Carol. She's just so natural. Perfect for that role.
Adam McKay - The Big Short
George Miller - Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro G. Iñárritu - The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson - Room
Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
So, I see this as a race between McKay and Iñárritu. George Miller may have a chance, since that is a directorial vision so perfectly executed. That can be said about the others as well, though. McCarthy made a solid movie, but his direction is lacking in panache. McKay is full of that and humor and anger. He gets my vote. I think Iñárritu takes it though...for nothing other than his unabashed hubris in even making such a film and making it perfectly.
Charles Randolph and Adam McKay - The Big Short
Nick Hornby - Brooklyn
Phyllis Nagy - Carol
Drew Goddard - The Martian
Emma Donoghue - Room
It's clear that all of these are beloved adaptations. The most original of these adaptations, though, is the work of Charles Randolph and Adam McKay in adapting Michael Lewis' exposé of the banking practices that tanked the housing markets in 2008. The Big Short all the way here.
Matt Charman and Ethan Coen & Joel Coen - Bridge of Spies
Alex Garland, Ex Machina
Pete Docter, Meg LeFauve, Josh Cooley - Inside Out
Josh Singer & Tom McCarthy - Spotlight
Jonathan Herman and Andrea Berloff - Straight Outta Compton
I find myself wondering if Straight Outta Compton gets the sympathy vote after all this #OscarsSoWhite stuff. I haven't seen it, so I can't judge. At the same time, this is most likely where Spotlight wins, and, if it does, it may just be the Best Picture winner as well. As much as I loved Ex Machina, specifically the writing, for me, Inside Out is the best screenplay on the ballot...period.
Ed Lachman - Carol
Robert Richardson - The Hateful Eight
John Seale - Mad Max: Fury Road
Emmanuel Lubezki - The Revenant
Roger Deakins - Sicario
This lineup is unreal great. Every one of these gentlemen are deserving of the prize. Lubezki is going for three-in-a-row and has the juice to do it. The Revenant is astounding to look at, despite whatever trickery was in play. Personally, I feel it is Deakins' time, and that's who gets my vote. Sicario is a brilliant film, mostly thanks to Deakins.
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Boy and the World
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There
I've only seen Inside Out and Anomalisa. Despite the critical praise for Charlie Kaufman's oddly charming stop-motion work, this is clearly Pixar's year again. Inside Out will take it, and I want it to.
Thomas Newman - Bridge of Spies
Carter Burwell - Carol
Ennio Morricone - The Hateful Eight
Jóhann Jóhannsson - Sicario
John Williams - Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Can John Williams get another Oscar for a Star Wars film on his fiftieth nomination? Or will it be Carter Burwell's gorgeously understated work on Carol? What about Morricone? His work was about the only thing good about The Hateful Eight. Really tough call, but I think this one goes to Burwell. That score is undeniably the best of the year.
What's your take?